Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.002513 0.002668 0.002834 0.003026 0.003244 0.003485 0.003775
2025-03-30 0.002265 0.002473 0.002708 0.002998 0.003351 0.003776 0.004342
2025-04-06 0.002064 0.002295 0.002565 0.002914 0.003363 0.003939 0.004774
2025-04-13 0.001933 0.002180 0.002479 0.002877 0.003415 0.004148 0.005302
2025-04-20 0.001774 0.002016 0.002313 0.002718 0.003279 0.004071 0.005386
2025-04-27 0.001705 0.001957 0.002273 0.002716 0.003350 0.004295 0.005992
2025-05-04 0.001674 0.001943 0.002287 0.002784 0.003528 0.004706 0.007054
2025-05-11 0.001621 0.001896 0.002254 0.002782 0.003597 0.004953 0.007903
2025-05-18 0.001603 0.001893 0.002279 0.002862 0.003804 0.005478 0.009645
2025-05-25 0.001555 0.001846 0.002239 0.002843 0.003843 0.005701 0.010791
2025-06-01 0.001501 0.001789 0.002180 0.002790 0.003819 0.005793 0.011630
2025-06-08 0.001485 0.001783 0.002194 0.002850 0.003997 0.006349 0.014599
2025-06-15 0.001460 0.001766 0.002193 0.002890 0.004156 0.006940 0.019024
2025-06-22 0.001418 0.001721 0.002150 0.002860 0.004178 0.007216 0.022782
2025-06-29 0.001365 0.001661 0.002081 0.002781 0.004097 0.007205 0.024780
2025-07-06 0.001328 0.001621 0.002041 0.002747 0.004101 0.007430 0.030003
2025-07-13 0.001265 0.001542 0.001938 0.002600 0.003862 0.006915 0.026108
2025-07-20 0.001241 0.001519 0.001919 0.002598 0.003920 0.007282 0.034385
2025-07-27 0.001235 0.001521 0.001938 0.002661 0.004124 0.008185 0.069893
2025-08-03 0.001214 0.001500 0.001920 0.002659 0.004187 0.008663 0.145113
2025-08-10 0.001211 0.001506 0.001944 0.002733 0.004435 0.009989 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001188 0.001481 0.001920 0.002715 0.004462 0.010450 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001160 0.001448 0.001880 0.002666 0.004410 0.010527 NaN